Anastasia Potapova vs Sofia Kenin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

To assess the anticipated outcome of the upcoming match between Anastasia Potapova and Sofia Kenin, several key statistics from their recent performances can provide valuable insights. Over the last six months, Potapova has demonstrated slightly superior second serve point-winning capabilities, securing 42.81% compared to Kenin's 40.97%. This metric is often indicative of a player's potential success in matches.

Focusing on return game statistics, Potapova has maintained a higher success rate when returning her opponent's second serve, winning 49.24% of points. Kenin follows closely with a 48.73% success rate. Additionally, when analyzing first serve return points, Potapova again leads with 29.35% in comparison to Kenin's 27.06%. Such return statistics hold a significant correlation with determining the favored player in head-to-head (H2H) matchups.

Under pressure, Potapova shows stronger breakpoint-saving capabilities, having saved 55.51% of breakpoints in recent matches, while Kenin is close behind with 54.61%. These numbers are pivotal for in-game betting predictions. Over the past year, Potapova has secured 60.42% of her matches, contrasting with Kenin's 56.9%, offering a broader view of their seasonal form.

Surface preference often plays a critical role in players' performance. Potapova's best surface is indoor hard courts, where she boasts a 67% win rate, whereas Kenin performs best on grass, with a 62% success rate. Interestingly, both players perform less optimally on indoor hard courts, Kenin with a win rate of 53% and Potapova also at 53% on hard courts.

Examining their direct encounters, Kenin has emerged victorious in their sole previous meeting. Their encounter at the San Diego Open saw Kenin win decisively with set scores of 6-2, 6-3. This past performance may offer insights into potential outcomes, with previous H2H meetings averaging a duration of 1:18:50.

Assessing their performance against high-caliber opponents, Potapova has competed against players with an average ranking of 69.52, slightly higher than Kenin's average opponent rank of 68.5. This insight suggests a marginally tougher competition faced by Potapova. When extended matches go to a deciding set, Kenin has demonstrated a greater propensity for success, winning 59% of such matches compared to Potapova's 50% over the last year.

On the subject of breaking serve, Potapova has converted 41.04% of her breakpoint chances, which edges out Kenin's conversion rate of 35.71%. This statistic might prove telling for the match's in-game dynamics. Considering all these factors, Potapova seems to have a slight statistical edge heading into their matchup, suggesting she might emerge as the winner. However, Kenin's past victory suggests she shouldn't be underestimated.